Home Immunity OU Health COVID-19 Expert Says It May Be Impossible

OU Health COVID-19 Expert Says It May Be Impossible

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Oklahoma health experts say the state is unlikely to achieve the collective immunity that so many people so desperately want. Dr. Dale Bratzler, COVID manager at the University of Oklahoma Health, spoke today about herd immunity. Oklahoma ranks fairly high in terms of new weekly cases compared to the rest of the country. As of Wednesday morning, the state was ninth in the country in the number of COVID-19 cases per capita. Bratzler said cases are still on the rise and he’s watching a plateau. “The seven-day moving average has actually stabilized,” he said. “Over the past four days, we’ve had about 2,800 new cases per day. We’ve seen this happen before. But that doesn’t mean Oklahoma can let its guard down. “I’m not going to say at any point yet that we’re at a plateau,” he said. “I think we need to monitor the data quite carefully.” Right now, Oklahoma County has the highest number of new cases. And while the hospitalizations have gone down a bit, “I think the hospital capacity is going to be limited for a while because of the number of people in the intensive care unit,” Bratzler said. “If I had to predict,” he said, “I would think Oklahoma would probably be in that category where we could start peaking soon, as we are just under two months away from the real increase that s ‘is produced because of the delta variant, but because we have so many unvaccinated people in Oklahoma. I don’t think we’re going to see this dramatic drop in the number of cases, if we see a drop it will be much more gradual .with changing variants, herd immunity is impossible, “he said.” How do you get herd immunity if you keep changing the virus? So a lot of people think we can’t do it. We know that this particular virus is very contagious, so it would take a very high level of immunity in the population, to achieve collective immunity. “And the spread in schools makes it even more difficult.” Remember that even children who are fully vaccinated, they can be infected with the delta, people who have already been exposed to COVID in the delta can be re-infected, so we are not out of this pandemic yet, the number of cases is still high, they are still in schools, the majority of children are not vaccinated. So I think it’s very, very important that we follow the CDC’s recommendations that all children in school should wear a mask and any indoor environment should wear a mask, ”he said. When asked how we can get back to normal life, Bratzler said by vaccinating, preventing COVID-19 infections and reducing hospitalizations.

Oklahoma health experts say the state is unlikely to achieve the collective immunity that so many people so desperately want.

Dr. Dale Bratzler, COVID manager at the University of Oklahoma Health, spoke today about herd immunity.

Oklahoma ranks fairly high in terms of new weekly cases compared to the rest of the country. As of Wednesday morning, the state was ninth in the country in the number of COVID-19 cases per capita.

Bratzler said cases were still ongoing and he was monitoring a plateau.

“The seven-day moving average has actually stabilized,” he said. “Over the past four days, we’ve had about 2,800 new cases per day. We have seen this happen before.

But that doesn’t mean Oklahoma can let its guard down.

“I am not going to declare at any point yet that we are at a plateau,” he said. “I think we need to monitor the data quite carefully. “

Right now, Oklahoma County has the highest number of new cases.

And while the hospitalizations have gone down a bit, “I think the hospital capacity is going to be limited for a while because of the number of people in the intensive care unit,” Bratzler said.

“If I had to predict,” he said, “I would think Oklahoma would probably be in that category where we could start peaking soon, as we are just under two months away from the real increase that s ‘is produced because of the delta variant, but because we have so many unvaccinated people in Oklahoma. I don’t think we’re going to see this dramatic drop in the number of cases, if we see a drop it will be much more gradual . “

He also mentioned collective immunity.

“Many epidemiologists now believe that with changing variants, collective immunity is impossible,” he said. “How do you get herd immunity if you keep changing the virus? So a lot of people think we can’t do it. We know that this particular virus is very contagious, so it would take a very high level of immunity. high in the population, to obtain collective immunity. “

And the spread in schools makes it even more difficult.

“Remember that even children who are fully vaccinated, they can get infected with the delta, people who have already been exposed to COVID in the delta can be re-infected, so we are not yet out of this pandemic, the number of case is still high, they’re still in schools, the majority of kids aren’t vaccinated. So I think it’s very, very important that we follow the CDC’s recommendations that all kids in school should wear a mask and any indoor environment should wear a mask, ”he said.

When asked how we can get back to normal life, Bratzler said by vaccinating, preventing COVID-19 infections and reducing hospitalizations.


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